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Red155
288157.4
6002114.2
7234128.8
Blue435
1918217.4
4409152.1
4855165.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2234690100300400600700155435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#36
157.40.9
159.7158.8
Auto18.1
Teleop120.7
End19.8
blue by 60.0
217.41.4
214.2215.6
Auto23.6
Teleop157.8
End37.3
Second
7234
#23
128.81.8
124.7126.5
Auto18.2
Teleop93.6
End17.2
blue by 36.2
4855
#21
165.11.4
161.4162.7
Auto18.6
Teleop119.2
End26.8
Third
6002
#38
114.21.8
115.9114.2
Auto17.5
Teleop88.7
End5.8
blue by 37.9
4409
#10
152.10.5
151.0151.5
Auto18.0
Teleop117.0
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed