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Red345
4482106.3
642899.6
4384134.5
Blue218
2474186.5
7073101.3
566496.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273315100150200250350400450345218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#35
134.50.2
133.6133.3
Auto17.2
Teleop111.0
End8.4
blue by 52.0
186.50.3
186.8187.0
Auto27.3
Teleop141.4
End14.4
Second
4482
#25
106.30.4
105.9106.3
Auto15.4
Teleop88.3
End2.9
red by 5.0
7073
#40
101.30.9
102.2101.3
Auto15.9
Teleop80.2
End2.9
Third
6428
#18
99.61.1
98.599.6
Auto18.9
Teleop72.1
End15.1
red by 3.6
5664
#28
96.10.9
95.196.1
Auto17.8
Teleop69.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed