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Red406
3535175.9
2145149.6
6877116.9
Blue174
6033124.2
5260135.4
1322134.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336305100200400500600406174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.90.1
175.5175.5
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
red by 40.5
5260
#11
135.40.8
133.8134.7
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End20.3
Second
149.60.1
149.1149.2
Auto13.1
Teleop120.0
End14.4
red by 15.3
1322
#17
134.30.4
133.7134.0
Auto16.3
Teleop94.3
End27.3
Third
6877
#30
116.90.2
117.3117.2
Auto15.5
Teleop86.0
End13.9
blue by 7.3
6033
#24
124.20.5
123.4123.9
Auto13.7
Teleop100.6
End13.5