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Red186
5166118.0
5224138.2
525189.8
Blue331
32289.5
6033124.2
5114150.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433020100200400500186331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5224
#12
138.20.8
136.9137.7
Auto20.4
Teleop102.9
End13.4
blue by 12.1
150.32.1
144.2146.3
Auto17.0
Teleop109.5
End26.4
Second
5166
#33
118.01.3
120.2118.9
Auto15.5
Teleop91.0
End11.7
blue by 6.2
6033
#24
124.21.1
122.3123.4
Auto13.7
Teleop100.6
End13.5
Third
5251
#38
89.81.9
91.789.8
Auto12.4
Teleop76.7
End-2.5
red by 0.3
322
#37
89.50.5
90.089.5
Auto13.1
Teleop72.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed