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Red211
5234155.7
5561148.5
5166118.0
Blue210
1139.6
6086142.1
5224138.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330304150200250350400450500550211210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.70.3
155.1155.4
Auto21.9
Teleop108.9
End25.8
red by 13.6
6086
#10
142.10.3
141.8142.1
Auto15.2
Teleop108.8
End18.9
Second
148.50.0
148.7148.8
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
red by 8.9
1
#13
139.60.2
139.9139.6
Auto16.9
Teleop111.4
End9.6
Third
5166
#33
118.00.2
118.7118.6
Auto15.5
Teleop91.0
End11.7
blue by 20.1
5224
#12
138.20.2
138.0138.2
Auto20.4
Teleop102.9
End13.4