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Red396
5234155.7
5561148.5
5166118.0
Blue263
1139.6
6086142.1
5224138.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325307100200400500600396263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.70.3
154.8155.1
Auto21.9
Teleop108.9
End25.8
red by 13.6
6086
#10
142.10.4
141.4141.8
Auto15.2
Teleop108.8
End18.9
Second
148.50.0
148.8148.7
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
red by 8.9
1
#13
139.60.2
140.1139.9
Auto16.9
Teleop111.4
End9.6
Third
5166
#33
118.00.2
118.9118.7
Auto15.5
Teleop91.0
End11.7
blue by 20.1
5224
#12
138.20.3
137.7138.0
Auto20.4
Teleop102.9
End13.4