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Red302
5234155.7
5561148.5
5166118.0
Blue362
7211135.4
5114150.3
5612140.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307333100200400500600302362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.70.1
155.6155.7
Auto21.9
Teleop108.9
End25.8
red by 5.4
150.30.7
148.3149.0
Auto17.0
Teleop109.5
End26.4
Second
148.50.2
148.7148.5
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
red by 7.9
5612
#20
140.70.3
139.7140.1
Auto14.3
Teleop114.6
End10.2
Third
5166
#33
118.00.3
118.4118.0
Auto15.5
Teleop91.0
End11.7
blue by 17.3
7211
#23
135.40.5
134.0134.5
Auto14.8
Teleop106.7
End13.9