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Red195
5150160.9
70161.1
5697128.2
Blue294
245166.9
4994138.2
609192.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333305100200400500600195294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
161.10.3
161.3161.1
Auto22.5
Teleop117.3
End19.5
blue by 5.9
245
#8
166.90.7
163.5164.2
Auto18.5
Teleop120.7
End31.1
Second
5150
#14
160.90.1
161.0160.9
Auto18.1
Teleop123.6
End19.3
red by 22.8
138.20.3
136.6136.9
Auto22.5
Teleop103.3
End12.5
Third
5697
#21
128.20.1
128.3128.2
Auto16.2
Teleop94.9
End15.4
red by 35.5
6091
#25
92.60.5
90.190.6
Auto11.5
Teleop72.8
End12.2