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Qual 122018 FIM District Kettering University Event #1
Red367
7223107.2
70161.1
245166.9
Blue231
5527118.9
5517140.6
5260135.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2962830100200400500600367231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#8
166.98.0
115.7→123.7
Auto18.5
Teleop120.7
End31.1
red by 26.4
5517
#9
140.612.9
101.5→114.4
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End22.4
Second
70
#6
161.110.4
121.3→131.7
Auto22.5
Teleop117.3
End19.5
red by 25.7
5260
#11
135.49.3
101.3→110.6
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End20.3
Third
7223
#22
107.211.2
77.7→89.0
Auto12.4
Teleop84.7
End8.5
blue by 11.7
5527
#27
118.910.9
85.9→96.8
Auto16.3
Teleop87.9
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed