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Red299
5114150.3
6081116.4
525189.8
Blue268
894136.2
3535175.9
6877116.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473180100200400500600700299268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.35.0
115.6120.6
Auto17.0
Teleop109.5
End26.4
blue by 25.6
175.911.5
119.6131.2
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
Second
6081
#31
116.47.1
92.699.6
Auto13.6
Teleop86.2
End20.4
blue by 19.8
894
#16
136.26.0
111.2117.2
Auto16.6
Teleop106.8
End13.2
Third
5251
#38
89.85.6
88.293.8
Auto12.4
Teleop76.7
End-2.5
blue by 27.1
6877
#30
116.912.3
77.790.0
Auto15.5
Teleop86.0
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed