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Red271
5517140.6
5067114.1
5697128.2
Blue211
661088.0
3568111.4
4994138.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162340100400500600700800271211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.64.3
121.3125.5
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End22.4
red by 2.4
138.25.1
111.6116.6
Auto22.5
Teleop103.3
End12.5
Second
5697
#21
128.24.0
111.6115.6
Auto16.2
Teleop94.9
End15.4
red by 16.7
3568
#35
111.42.6
102.6105.2
Auto15.2
Teleop85.3
End18.3
Third
5067
#34
114.11.7
114.2115.9
Auto11.4
Teleop90.9
End12.2
red by 26.1
6610
#36
88.03.8
89.593.3
Auto13.3
Teleop70.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed