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Red83
6033124.2
1322134.3
5166118.0
Blue388
5561148.5
2145149.6
3535175.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279340010020040050060070083388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#17
134.39.8
118.7128.4
Auto16.3
Teleop94.3
End27.3
blue by 41.6
175.98.4
131.2139.6
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
Second
6033
#24
124.24.8
111.9116.7
Auto13.7
Teleop100.6
End13.5
blue by 25.3
149.68.3
119.7128.0
Auto13.1
Teleop120.0
End14.4
Third
5166
#33
118.04.0
124.0127.9
Auto15.5
Teleop91.0
End11.7
blue by 30.5
148.59.3
111.7121.0
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed