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Red281
521497.0
5527118.9
5234155.7
Blue317
6086142.1
5150160.9
894136.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313440100200300400500600700281317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.76.3
119.2125.5
Auto21.9
Teleop108.9
End25.8
blue by 5.2
5150
#14
160.95.2
136.5141.7
Auto18.1
Teleop123.6
End19.3
Second
5527
#27
118.93.3
104.7108.1
Auto16.3
Teleop87.9
End16.2
blue by 23.2
6086
#10
142.14.7
111.8116.5
Auto15.2
Teleop108.8
End18.9
Third
5214
#26
97.01.4
90.391.7
Auto11.9
Teleop80.3
End3.6
blue by 39.1
894
#16
136.23.0
123.9126.8
Auto16.6
Teleop106.8
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed