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Red197
609192.6
5260135.4
3568111.4
Blue156
5697128.2
468118.2
6081116.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432960100200400500600197156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#11
135.45.7
119.2124.9
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End20.3
red by 7.2
5697
#21
128.22.7
115.6118.3
Auto16.2
Teleop94.9
End15.4
Second
3568
#35
111.41.5
105.2106.7
Auto15.2
Teleop85.3
End18.3
blue by 6.8
468
#28
118.24.3
101.6105.9
Auto14.7
Teleop85.8
End19.5
Third
6091
#25
92.60.2
86.586.7
Auto11.5
Teleop72.8
End12.2
blue by 23.7
6081
#31
116.41.9
110.2112.2
Auto13.6
Teleop86.2
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed