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Red20
7223107.2
525189.8
521497.0
Blue446
5234155.7
5114150.3
3535175.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187397010030050060070020446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7223
#22
107.22.0
110.0111.9
Auto12.4
Teleop84.7
End8.5
blue by 68.7
175.97.1
146.8153.9
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
Second
5214
#26
97.02.5
94.797.2
Auto11.9
Teleop80.3
End3.6
blue by 58.7
155.76.3
125.5131.8
Auto21.9
Teleop108.9
End25.8
Third
5251
#38
89.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto12.4
Teleop76.7
End-2.5
blue by 60.5
150.31.1
130.7131.8
Auto17.0
Teleop109.5
End26.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned