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Red272
5150160.9
5166118.0
5641100.0
Blue224
6033124.2
5215121.1
468118.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912660200400600800272224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#14
160.93.9
141.7145.6
Auto18.1
Teleop123.6
End19.3
red by 36.7
6033
#24
124.21.4
116.1117.4
Auto13.7
Teleop100.6
End13.5
Second
5166
#33
118.01.2
126.7125.6
Auto15.5
Teleop91.0
End11.7
blue by 3.0
5215
#18
121.12.2
119.3121.5
Auto17.7
Teleop89.7
End21.2
Third
5641
#32
100.00.7
101.1100.5
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End5.1
blue by 18.3
468
#28
118.22.1
105.9107.9
Auto14.7
Teleop85.8
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed