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Red279
609192.6
5561148.5
5224138.2
Blue168
661088.0
5524137.3
245166.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262299100150200350400450500279168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.56.0
128.9134.9
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
blue by 18.4
245
#8
166.96.4
144.0150.4
Auto18.5
Teleop120.7
End31.1
Second
5224
#12
138.25.7
123.1128.8
Auto20.4
Teleop102.9
End13.4
red by 0.9
5524
#15
137.34.5
127.6132.1
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End15.8
Third
6091
#25
92.60.6
86.786.1
Auto11.5
Teleop72.8
End12.2
red by 4.6
6610
#36
88.01.4
95.594.1
Auto13.3
Teleop70.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed