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Red342
3568111.4
894136.2
5561148.5
Blue194
7223107.2
4994138.2
5067114.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932480100200400500600342194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.51.9
138.9140.8
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
red by 10.4
138.23.9
122.5126.3
Auto22.5
Teleop103.3
End12.5
Second
894
#16
136.21.3
129.4130.7
Auto16.6
Teleop106.8
End13.2
red by 22.1
5067
#34
114.10.3
116.4116.8
Auto11.4
Teleop90.9
End12.2
Third
3568
#35
111.40.5
106.9106.4
Auto15.2
Teleop85.3
End18.3
red by 4.3
7223
#22
107.21.0
110.4109.4
Auto12.4
Teleop84.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed