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Red257
5697128.2
5641100.0
5260135.4
Blue307
3535175.9
6086142.1
5166118.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231372100200300500600257307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#11
135.40.1
127.1127.0
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End20.3
blue by 40.5
175.95.2
161.6166.8
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
Second
5697
#21
128.22.8
120.9123.7
Auto16.2
Teleop94.9
End15.4
blue by 14.0
6086
#10
142.15.0
128.9133.9
Auto15.2
Teleop108.8
End18.9
Third
5641
#32
100.01.0
101.6100.7
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End5.1
blue by 18.1
5166
#33
118.01.5
126.4125.0
Auto15.5
Teleop91.0
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed