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Red189
468118.2
661088.0
609192.6
Blue187
5660112.3
525189.8
7211135.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214305100400500189187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
468
#28
118.23.5
109.3112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop85.8
End19.5
blue by 17.1
7211
#23
135.45.4
119.0124.3
Auto14.8
Teleop106.7
End13.9
Second
6091
#25
92.60.1
85.485.4
Auto11.5
Teleop72.8
End12.2
blue by 19.6
5660
#29
112.30.5
113.6114.1
Auto13.1
Teleop84.5
End11.9
Third
6610
#36
88.02.5
90.788.2
Auto13.3
Teleop70.9
End4.1
blue by 1.9
5251
#38
89.83.3
101.297.9
Auto12.4
Teleop76.7
End-2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed