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Red342
4994138.2
5150160.9
5282106.6
Blue150
6081116.4
5524137.3
32289.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322370100200300400500600342150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#14
160.93.2
149.9153.1
Auto18.1
Teleop123.6
End19.3
red by 23.6
5524
#15
137.31.3
132.6133.8
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End15.8
Second
138.22.2
126.3128.6
Auto22.5
Teleop103.3
End12.5
red by 21.8
6081
#31
116.41.9
113.9115.9
Auto13.6
Teleop86.2
End20.4
Third
5282
#19
106.61.0
96.797.7
Auto13.4
Teleop83.2
End11.0
red by 17.1
322
#37
89.51.6
95.093.5
Auto13.1
Teleop72.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed