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Red216
5527118.9
6033124.2
5612140.7
Blue231
5215121.1
5224138.2
5234155.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287316150200250350400450500216231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#20
140.72.0
133.0135.0
Auto14.3
Teleop114.6
End10.2
blue by 15.1
155.76.3
138.9145.2
Auto21.9
Teleop108.9
End25.8
Second
6033
#24
124.21.8
118.3120.1
Auto13.7
Teleop100.6
End13.5
blue by 14.0
5224
#12
138.21.9
132.6134.5
Auto20.4
Teleop102.9
End13.4
Third
5527
#27
118.91.8
115.8117.6
Auto16.3
Teleop87.9
End16.2
blue by 2.2
5215
#18
121.11.1
123.0121.9
Auto17.7
Teleop89.7
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed