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Red319
6081116.4
245166.9
5067114.1
Blue262
3568111.4
5234155.7
5641100.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112600100200400500600319262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#8
166.92.2
156.7158.8
Auto18.5
Teleop120.7
End31.1
red by 11.2
155.72.6
148.9151.5
Auto21.9
Teleop108.9
End25.8
Second
6081
#31
116.40.1
116.0115.9
Auto13.6
Teleop86.2
End20.4
red by 4.9
3568
#35
111.40.9
107.9108.7
Auto15.2
Teleop85.3
End18.3
Third
5067
#34
114.11.5
116.8115.3
Auto11.4
Teleop90.9
End12.2
red by 14.1
5641
#32
100.01.3
101.099.8
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed