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Red260
5561148.5
7223107.2
6086142.1
Blue254
5150160.9
70161.1
525189.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023130100200400500600260254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.52.9
143.1146.0
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
blue by 12.5
70
#6
161.11.7
159.5161.2
Auto22.5
Teleop117.3
End19.5
Second
6086
#10
142.11.8
137.1138.9
Auto15.2
Teleop108.8
End18.9
blue by 18.8
5150
#14
160.92.7
156.7159.4
Auto18.1
Teleop123.6
End19.3
Third
7223
#22
107.20.7
108.6107.8
Auto12.4
Teleop84.7
End8.5
red by 17.4
5251
#38
89.81.5
94.893.2
Auto12.4
Teleop76.7
End-2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed