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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Kettering Kickoff
Red415
217214.3
67211.2
3322139.9
Blue264
70166.1
33198.6
5114169.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399317100200500600700415264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#10
214.30.2
213.6→213.7
Auto20.4
Teleop173.5
End19.4
red by 15.7
33
#12
198.60.1
198.8→198.7
Auto21.2
Teleop150.3
End27.8
Second
67
#1
211.20.4
209.7→210.0
Auto21.7
Teleop153.5
End36.6
red by 41.5
5114
#17
169.70.3
170.4→170.0
Auto19.5
Teleop127.9
End20.0
Third
3322
#18
139.90.5
138.0→138.5
Auto17.0
Teleop105.0
End18.8
blue by 26.2
70
#27
166.10.3
166.8→166.4
Auto19.8
Teleop130.3
End15.4