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Red315
217214.3
67211.2
3322139.9
Blue400
302208.4
5460200.8
3656181.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370361250300400450315400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#10
214.30.2
213.9214.1
Auto20.4
Teleop173.5
End19.4
red by 6.0
302
#6
208.40.4
206.4206.8
Auto20.0
Teleop166.5
End23.5
Second
67
#1
211.20.4
210.4210.8
Auto21.7
Teleop153.5
End36.6
red by 10.4
200.80.3
199.2199.5
Auto19.7
Teleop155.7
End27.1
Third
3322
#18
139.90.5
138.9139.4
Auto17.0
Teleop105.0
End18.8
blue by 41.9
3656
#22
181.80.7
183.8183.1
Auto19.3
Teleop136.7
End25.4