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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Kettering Kickoff
Red434
217214.3
67211.2
3322139.9
Blue192
70166.1
33198.6
5114169.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404313100200500600700434192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#10
214.30.2
213.7→213.9
Auto20.4
Teleop173.5
End19.4
red by 15.7
33
#12
198.60.1
198.7→198.6
Auto21.2
Teleop150.3
End27.8
Second
67
#1
211.20.4
210.0→210.4
Auto21.7
Teleop153.5
End36.6
red by 41.5
5114
#17
169.70.4
170.0→169.7
Auto19.5
Teleop127.9
End20.0
Third
3322
#18
139.90.5
138.5→138.9
Auto17.0
Teleop105.0
End18.8
blue by 26.2
70
#27
166.10.3
166.4→166.1
Auto19.8
Teleop130.3
End15.4