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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Kettering Kickoff
Red316
27217.7
4381161.9
2137153.2
Blue332
4779148.6
3667167.8
494187.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376306100200400500316332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#14
217.70.1
217.5217.6
Auto25.2
Teleop164.3
End29.4
red by 29.9
494
#25
187.91.2
191.0189.9
Auto18.3
Teleop149.9
End15.4
Second
161.90.8
158.8159.5
Auto22.4
Teleop120.7
End18.9
blue by 6.0
167.80.5
166.4166.9
Auto20.4
Teleop131.4
End18.3
Third
2137
#34
153.20.5
155.6155.1
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End13.8
red by 4.7
4779
#38
148.60.3
149.2148.9
Auto20.6
Teleop110.4
End15.8