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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Kettering Kickoff
Red354
27217.7
4381161.9
2137153.2
Blue301
4779148.6
3667167.8
494187.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371310100200400500354301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#14
217.70.1
217.6→217.6
Auto25.2
Teleop164.3
End29.4
red by 29.9
494
#25
187.91.0
189.9→188.8
Auto18.3
Teleop149.9
End15.4
Second
4381
#3
161.90.7
159.5→160.2
Auto22.4
Teleop120.7
End18.9
blue by 6.0
3667
#7
167.80.5
166.9→167.4
Auto20.4
Teleop131.4
End18.3
Third
2137
#34
153.20.5
155.1→154.6
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End13.8
red by 4.7
4779
#38
148.60.2
148.9→148.7
Auto20.6
Teleop110.4
End15.8