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Red442
1506178.4
4381161.9
862171.3
Blue194
4362181.5
314148.6
5436170.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3043690200600800442194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#32
178.41.8
186.2184.5
Auto21.9
Teleop137.9
End16.9
blue by 3.0
4362
#40
181.50.3
195.2194.9
Auto16.2
Teleop147.0
End13.3
Second
862
#33
171.31.2
183.3182.1
Auto20.2
Teleop135.4
End11.3
red by 0.7
5436
#24
170.50.3
175.8176.1
Auto22.4
Teleop127.9
End19.3
Third
161.90.2
149.3149.5
Auto22.4
Teleop120.7
End18.9
red by 13.2
314
#39
148.60.2
157.6157.4
Auto18.2
Teleop115.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsMissed