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Red426
33198.6
5167132.5
67211.2
Blue303
245180.4
494187.9
217214.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2894160200600800426303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
211.20.7
204.4203.7
Auto21.7
Teleop153.5
End36.6
blue by 3.2
217
#10
214.31.7
219.2217.5
Auto20.4
Teleop173.5
End19.4
Second
33
#12
198.61.1
197.2196.1
Auto21.2
Teleop150.3
End27.8
red by 10.8
494
#25
187.91.1
198.9197.8
Auto18.3
Teleop149.9
End15.4
Third
5167
#29
132.51.0
132.6131.6
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End14.7
blue by 48.0
245
#11
180.40.5
180.8181.3
Auto18.7
Teleop129.2
End33.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
84%Face the Boss oddsEarned72%Face the Boss oddsMissed