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Red175
503170.4
4779148.6
5612142.2
Blue369
1684189.5
5114169.7
2145150.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33535802006008001,0001,200175369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#8
170.41.0
176.1175.2
Auto23.0
Teleop120.4
End23.5
blue by 19.2
189.50.9
186.5185.6
Auto25.3
Teleop136.7
End27.7
Second
4779
#38
148.60.5
158.3157.8
Auto20.6
Teleop110.4
End15.8
blue by 21.1
5114
#17
169.70.5
168.4169.0
Auto19.5
Teleop127.9
End20.0
Third
5612
#37
142.20.7
145.7146.4
Auto16.6
Teleop115.5
End10.8
blue by 8.4
2145
#13
150.60.1
153.4153.5
Auto16.5
Teleop115.6
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed64%Face the Boss oddsMissed