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Red409
703149.5
5436170.5
2960163.5
Blue82
830113.2
3656181.8
894140.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35433710020030040050060040982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#24
170.50.4
176.2175.8
Auto22.4
Teleop127.9
End19.3
blue by 11.3
3656
#22
181.80.4
198.3197.9
Auto19.3
Teleop136.7
End25.4
Second
2960
#31
163.51.0
170.0169.0
Auto22.7
Teleop127.3
End10.6
red by 23.1
894
#19
140.30.7
146.9147.6
Auto17.2
Teleop105.3
End19.0
Third
703
#23
149.50.5
146.7147.2
Auto20.4
Teleop115.8
End12.7
red by 36.3
830
#41
113.20.5
126.4126.0
Auto16.9
Teleop89.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsMissed