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Red182
70166.1
1506178.4
2145150.6
Blue318
5460200.8
830113.2
494187.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512940100200400500600182318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#32
178.40.4
184.5184.1
Auto21.9
Teleop137.9
End16.9
blue by 22.4
200.80.2
195.9195.7
Auto19.7
Teleop155.7
End27.1
Second
70
#27
166.12.3
175.9173.6
Auto19.8
Teleop130.3
End15.4
blue by 21.8
494
#25
187.91.2
197.8196.6
Auto18.3
Teleop149.9
End15.4
Third
2145
#13
150.60.1
153.5153.5
Auto16.5
Teleop115.6
End17.6
red by 37.4
830
#41
113.22.5
123.8121.3
Auto16.9
Teleop89.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed38%Face the Boss oddsMissed