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Qual 202018 Kettering Kickoff
Red434
3656181.8
5114169.7
2834204.9
Blue354
3534172.8
2337214.4
33198.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3223890200600800434354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#4
204.90.9
195.7→196.6
Auto24.5
Teleop152.4
End27.6
blue by 9.5
2337
#9
214.40.0
204.4→204.4
Auto23.2
Teleop163.5
End30.4
Second
3656
#22
181.83.4
195.6→192.2
Auto19.3
Teleop136.7
End25.4
blue by 16.9
33
#12
198.60.4
196.1→196.5
Auto21.2
Teleop150.3
End27.8
Third
5114
#17
169.70.4
169.0→169.4
Auto19.5
Teleop127.9
End20.0
blue by 3.1
3534
#21
172.80.9
174.8→173.9
Auto18.4
Teleop133.2
End20.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
68%Face the Boss oddsEarned70%Face the Boss oddsMissed