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Red277
703149.5
894140.3
245180.4
Blue393
3667167.8
51150.3
503170.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32435302006008001,0001,200277393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#11
180.40.3
181.3181.0
Auto18.7
Teleop129.2
End33.5
red by 10.1
503
#8
170.41.4
173.4172.0
Auto23.0
Teleop120.4
End23.5
Second
703
#23
149.51.4
148.2149.6
Auto20.4
Teleop115.8
End12.7
blue by 18.3
167.81.7
154.7156.5
Auto20.4
Teleop131.4
End18.3
Third
894
#19
140.32.3
145.7143.4
Auto17.2
Teleop105.3
End19.0
blue by 10.0
51
#15
150.30.7
150.5149.8
Auto19.4
Teleop113.4
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsEarned