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Red477
1684189.5
27217.7
3667167.8
Blue300
1322170.2
1506178.4
3656181.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394334200300500477300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#14
217.70.2
213.8214.0
Auto25.2
Teleop164.3
End29.4
red by 36.0
3656
#22
181.82.0
192.2190.2
Auto19.3
Teleop136.7
End25.4
Second
189.50.4
184.9184.5
Auto25.3
Teleop136.7
End27.7
red by 11.1
1506
#32
178.41.6
184.1182.5
Auto21.9
Teleop137.9
End16.9
Third
167.82.1
156.5158.6
Auto20.4
Teleop131.4
End18.3
blue by 2.4
1322
#20
170.21.0
165.9166.9
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End30.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsEarned38%Face the Boss oddsMissed