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Red467
5460200.8
33198.6
302208.4
Blue183
51150.3
703149.5
4779148.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4332350100200300400500600467183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
208.40.5
200.7201.2
Auto20.0
Teleop166.5
End23.5
red by 58.1
51
#15
150.30.2
149.8149.9
Auto19.4
Teleop113.4
End18.0
Second
200.80.0
195.7195.7
Auto19.7
Teleop155.7
End27.1
red by 51.3
703
#23
149.50.8
149.6150.4
Auto20.4
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Third
33
#12
198.60.4
196.5196.9
Auto21.2
Teleop150.3
End27.8
red by 50.1
4779
#38
148.62.0
156.4154.3
Auto20.6
Teleop110.4
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed