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Red337
3534172.8
4381161.9
5114169.7
Blue273
5053150.5
1506178.4
1684189.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31741102006008001,000337273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#21
172.80.7
173.7174.3
Auto18.4
Teleop133.2
End20.6
blue by 16.7
189.50.7
185.8186.5
Auto25.3
Teleop136.7
End27.7
Second
5114
#17
169.70.8
167.7168.4
Auto19.5
Teleop127.9
End20.0
blue by 8.7
1506
#32
178.40.4
186.6186.2
Auto21.9
Teleop137.9
End16.9
Third
161.90.4
148.9149.3
Auto22.4
Teleop120.7
End18.9
red by 11.3
5053
#30
150.51.2
156.0157.3
Auto20.0
Teleop118.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
64%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed