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Red288
70166.1
27217.7
5660110.4
Blue208
548155.5
2960163.5
4362181.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340340250300400450288208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#14
217.70.4
213.3213.7
Auto25.2
Teleop164.3
End29.4
red by 36.3
4362
#40
181.50.9
194.3195.2
Auto16.2
Teleop147.0
End13.3
Second
70
#27
166.10.9
177.8176.9
Auto19.8
Teleop130.3
End15.4
red by 2.6
2960
#31
163.50.0
170.0170.0
Auto22.7
Teleop127.3
End10.6
Third
5660
#26
110.41.4
107.5108.9
Auto11.9
Teleop84.6
End14.9
blue by 45.1
548
#16
155.50.6
153.6154.2
Auto17.2
Teleop120.4
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed