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Red268
4779148.6
5502127.4
3322139.9
Blue305
503170.4
862171.3
494187.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2254390100300400500600700268305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#38
148.61.2
159.5158.3
Auto20.6
Teleop110.4
End15.8
blue by 39.3
494
#25
187.90.4
199.3198.9
Auto18.3
Teleop149.9
End15.4
Second
3322
#18
139.90.4
131.3131.7
Auto17.0
Teleop105.0
End18.8
blue by 31.3
862
#33
171.30.6
183.9183.3
Auto20.2
Teleop135.4
End11.3
Third
5502
#36
127.40.3
131.5131.8
Auto16.5
Teleop94.5
End15.7
blue by 42.9
503
#8
170.40.3
176.4176.1
Auto23.0
Teleop120.4
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsMissed