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Red185
862171.3
830113.2
548155.5
Blue424
4381161.9
1684189.5
503170.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2714090100200500600700185424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#33
171.31.9
180.3178.4
Auto20.2
Teleop135.4
End11.3
blue by 18.3
189.50.6
184.5185.1
Auto25.3
Teleop136.7
End27.7
Second
548
#16
155.51.2
153.7154.9
Auto17.2
Teleop120.4
End18.1
blue by 14.8
503
#8
170.40.4
172.0171.6
Auto23.0
Teleop120.4
End23.5
Third
830
#41
113.21.6
119.4117.8
Auto16.9
Teleop89.6
End2.8
blue by 48.7
161.92.2
152.6154.8
Auto22.4
Teleop120.7
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed57%Face the Boss oddsMissed