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Qual 322018 Kettering Kickoff
Red382
3656181.8
51150.3
5460200.8
Blue172
5114169.7
5502127.4
4362181.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3753130100200500600382172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#5
200.80.7
195.7→196.4
Auto19.7
Teleop155.7
End27.1
red by 19.4
4362
#40
181.52.1
190.9→188.8
Auto16.2
Teleop147.0
End13.3
Second
3656
#22
181.81.7
190.2→188.5
Auto19.3
Teleop136.7
End25.4
red by 12.1
5114
#17
169.71.0
170.5→171.4
Auto19.5
Teleop127.9
End20.0
Third
51
#15
150.30.2
149.9→149.7
Auto19.4
Teleop113.4
End18.0
red by 22.9
5502
#36
127.40.1
130.0→130.0
Auto16.5
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
61%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed