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Red135
5167132.5
5907164.2
703149.5
Blue417
5660110.4
2834204.9
314148.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29734705001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000135417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#28
164.20.3
166.5166.3
Auto17.6
Teleop126.4
End19.0
blue by 40.7
204.91.7
198.1199.8
Auto24.5
Teleop152.4
End27.6
Second
703
#23
149.50.2
150.4150.7
Auto20.4
Teleop115.8
End12.7
red by 0.9
314
#39
148.61.4
154.0152.6
Auto18.2
Teleop115.7
End10.7
Third
5167
#29
132.50.6
133.3134.0
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End14.7
red by 22.1
5660
#26
110.40.3
110.2109.9
Auto11.9
Teleop84.6
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed