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Red412
32282.2
67211.2
1322170.2
Blue305
5436170.5
3534172.8
4779148.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331332200250300350400412305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
211.21.2
205.2206.4
Auto21.7
Teleop153.5
End36.6
red by 38.4
3534
#21
172.80.1
173.2173.3
Auto18.4
Teleop133.2
End20.6
Second
1322
#20
170.20.8
166.9167.6
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End30.3
blue by 0.3
5436
#24
170.51.3
174.1172.8
Auto22.4
Teleop127.9
End19.3
Third
322
#35
82.21.4
84.783.3
Auto12.5
Teleop63.5
End3.9
blue by 66.4
4779
#38
148.62.0
154.3152.3
Auto20.6
Teleop110.4
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
75%Face the Boss oddsEarned24%Face the Boss oddsMissed