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Red80
830113.2
314148.6
5053150.5
Blue391
3322139.9
3667167.8
33198.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232409010030050060070080080391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#30
150.51.6
154.5152.9
Auto20.0
Teleop118.5
End8.7
blue by 48.1
33
#12
198.60.3
197.9198.2
Auto21.2
Teleop150.3
End27.8
Second
314
#39
148.60.5
152.6152.0
Auto18.2
Teleop115.7
End10.7
blue by 19.2
167.82.7
161.2163.9
Auto20.4
Teleop131.4
End18.3
Third
830
#41
113.22.0
117.8115.8
Auto16.9
Teleop89.6
End2.8
blue by 26.7
3322
#18
139.91.3
135.3136.6
Auto17.0
Teleop105.0
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed