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Red436
5907164.2
245180.4
4381161.9
Blue202
5502127.4
5612142.2
27217.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342341250300400450436202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#11
180.40.9
180.5179.6
Auto18.7
Teleop129.2
End33.5
blue by 37.3
27
#14
217.71.7
215.0216.7
Auto25.2
Teleop164.3
End29.4
Second
5907
#28
164.21.7
166.3164.5
Auto17.6
Teleop126.4
End19.0
red by 22.0
5612
#37
142.20.9
144.5143.6
Auto16.6
Teleop115.5
End10.8
Third
161.91.6
154.8156.4
Auto22.4
Teleop120.7
End18.9
red by 34.4
5502
#36
127.41.1
130.0128.9
Auto16.5
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed