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Red378
67211.2
3656181.8
5436170.5
Blue247
2145150.6
5660110.4
2137153.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4582290100300400500600700378247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
211.22.0
206.4208.4
Auto21.7
Teleop153.5
End36.6
red by 58.0
2137
#34
153.22.5
160.1157.6
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End13.8
Second
3656
#22
181.81.0
188.5187.5
Auto19.3
Teleop136.7
End25.4
red by 31.2
2145
#13
150.60.3
151.2150.9
Auto16.5
Teleop115.6
End17.6
Third
5436
#24
170.51.1
172.8171.8
Auto22.4
Teleop127.9
End19.3
red by 60.1
5660
#26
110.40.3
109.9110.3
Auto11.9
Teleop84.6
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
88%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed