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Red96
4362181.5
32282.2
494187.9
Blue495
1684189.5
703149.5
2337214.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213414010030050060070096495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#25
187.91.5
194.8193.2
Auto18.3
Teleop149.9
End15.4
blue by 26.5
214.41.9
205.9207.8
Auto23.2
Teleop163.5
End30.4
Second
4362
#40
181.52.8
188.8186.1
Auto16.2
Teleop147.0
End13.3
blue by 8.0
189.50.3
185.1185.4
Auto25.3
Teleop136.7
End27.7
Third
322
#35
82.20.2
83.383.1
Auto12.5
Teleop63.5
End3.9
blue by 67.3
703
#23
149.51.3
150.7149.3
Auto20.4
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsEarned