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Qual 402018 Kettering Kickoff
Red302
1322170.2
503170.4
3534172.8
Blue370
5167132.5
70166.1
5460200.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351335200250300400450302370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#21
172.80.0
173.3→173.3
Auto18.4
Teleop133.2
End20.6
blue by 28.0
5460
#5
200.80.9
196.4→197.2
Auto19.7
Teleop155.7
End27.1
Second
503
#8
170.40.4
171.6→171.2
Auto23.0
Teleop120.4
End23.5
red by 4.3
70
#27
166.11.0
168.2→167.2
Auto19.8
Teleop130.3
End15.4
Third
1322
#20
170.21.7
167.6→169.3
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End30.3
red by 37.8
5167
#29
132.51.0
134.0→133.0
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
53%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed